The most popular urban fixed asset investment in t

2022-07-31
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The first five months of this year saw a year-on-year increase in urban fixed asset investment of 25.6%

the first five months of this year saw a year-on-year increase in urban fixed asset investment of 25.6%

China Construction Machinery Information Guide: the first five months of this year saw a year-on-year increase in urban fixed asset investment of 25.6%. Experts have different judgments on the future economic trend. The National Bureau of Statistics announced on the 17th that from January to May this year, China's urban fixed asset investment increased by 25.6% year-on-year, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous four months, Down from the same period last year

-- experts have different judgments on the future economic trend

the National Bureau of Statistics announced on the 17th that from January to May this year, China's urban fixed asset investment increased by 25.6% year-on-year, 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous four months and 0.3 percentage points lower than the same period last year. From the perspective of new projects that reflect the future trend of investment, as of the end of May, the total planned investment in new projects nationwide had decreased by 2.5% year-on-year, 2.6 percentage points lower than that at the end of April

from the above investment data, the growth rate is falling, and the decline of the indicators of the first new projects is smaller than that at the end of April. This has led to scholars' inconsistent judgment on China's economic trend. Some people believe that China's economic growth rate will continue to maintain a high level this year, even facing the risk of overheating, by coating both sides of flammable polyurethane with inorganic sand paddles; However, some people believe that the risk of the current economic growth slowdown is increasing

qijingmei, senior economist of the National Information Center, said that the high growth rate of fixed asset investment shows that China's economic momentum is still undiminished, the desire of enterprises to develop is still strong, and there is unlikely to be a risk of significant economic decline in the future. She predicts that the investment in the next few months will still maintain the normal protection of 2. The digital display electronic tensile testing machine in a moderately high and stable state, and may even rise slightly

huyanni, Macro Analyst of CSC, said that the growth rate of fixed asset investment announced by the Bureau of statistics was in line with expectations, and the rate of about 25% was also recognized by the government. In the short term, the earthquake disaster may have a negative impact on China's economy, but in the long term, it will stimulate investment. This situation will appear in the second half of the year and next year. A prominent change in the investment data in May is that the decline in the planned total investment of new projects began to shrink

there will be no risk of stress depression in judging China's economic trend this year; Good thermal insulation. Some experts have proposed to continue to prevent the risk of overheating. There are four reasons: the global economic contraction caused by the US subprime mortgage crisis has not affected the basis of supporting China's economic growth; China's domestic market demand space is broad, and the decline of foreign trade surplus can be made up by expanding domestic demand; There is an impulse to accelerate investment due to the change of local government in China's economy; The negative impact of the earthquake on the economy is less than the pulling effect of post disaster reconstruction on economic growth

however, there are voices of "preventing a sharp economic decline". After all, despite the nominal growth rate of investment, considering the current high inflation, the actual growth rate of investment may be much lower than that of the same period last year. According to the data released by the Bureau of statistics, since the second half of last year, the price of China's fixed asset investment has risen strongly with the rapid rise of consumer prices. Compared with the same period last year, the first quarter of this year increased by 8.6%, an increase of 6.3 percentage points over the first quarter of last year, and an increase of 4.7 percentage points over the whole year of 2007

Yu Bin, director of the macro research department of the development research center of the State Council, believes that at present, China's economy is likely to decline significantly, and it is necessary to adjust the focus and direction of macro-control. He said that the slowdown in global economic growth has had a certain impact on our Congress. According to the statistics of the development center of the State Council, the growth of China's foreign trade exports has dropped to the lowest level in the past decade. Moreover, the rain and snow freeze disaster at the beginning of this year also had an impact on the economy. It is estimated that the loss caused by the snow disaster in the South will have an adverse impact on the GDP this year of about 0.6%

at the same time, the instability of the whole real estate market and securities market this year will also have a negative impact on the economy. Yu Bin said that since the end of last year, the whole real estate sector has started to experience unsalable housing or declining prices. From the perspective of macro-economy, there are more than 60 real estate related industries. The depression of the real estate industry will have a direct impact on the economic operation. In addition, due to the instability of the securities market, the funds that listed companies can raise in the securities market will be greatly reduced, which will directly affect their ability to invest and expand

in addition, Yu Bin found through investigation that at present, many domestic enterprises are facing a substantial increase in production costs, including labor costs and raw material costs. The appreciation of RMB exchange rate and the tight monetary policy have made a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises encounter great financing pressure, which will have an impact on the overall domestic production development

finally, the supply exceeding demand caused by the price distortion of resource-based products may have an impact on the macro-economy. Foreign crude oil prices have risen substantially, but domestic product oil prices have remained relatively low, and oil shortages have occurred in some regions, "which has also caused great losses to the economy." Yu Bin said

chendongqi, deputy director of the Macroeconomic Research Institute of the national development and Reform Commission, also holds a similar view. However, he said that due to the new factor of earthquake, it may be necessary to re estimate the situation. He said that despite the great losses caused by the earthquake, we should consider the pulling effect of post disaster reconstruction on investment and the resulting investment expansion effect. "From this perspective, our original estimate of the decline in economic growth may need to be revised. At least the rate and extent of the decline may need to be adjusted." Chen Dongqi said

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